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Portuguesa U20 vs Referencia U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Keven
27' Event
Joao Rafael
76' Event
Kaue Leal

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 2025 game between Portuguesa U20 and Referencia U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Referencia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Portuguesa U20
6%
Draws
4%
Referencia U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portuguesa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Portuguesa U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Referencia U20.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Portuguesa U20.
  • Cup tournament structure in Paulista U20 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Portuguesa U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Referencia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa U20 Referencia U20
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Paulista U20
Portuguesa U20 vs Referencia U20
1:2
Sep 5, 2025 Paulista U20
Referencia U20 vs Portuguesa U20
0:0
Jul 27, 2025 Paulista U20
Portuguesa U20 vs Referencia U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Keven
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Referencia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Rafael
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaue Leal
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa U20 85 / 100
Referencia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa U20 Referencia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa U20 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Referencia U20 let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Portuguesa U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Referencia U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa U20 VS Referencia U20
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Palmeiras U204
Sertaozinho U200
Portuguesa U201
Referencia U202
Bragantino U209
Itapirense U202
Novorizontino U201
Botafogo SP U205
EC Sao Bernardo U202
Internacional de Limeira U201
Uniao Suzano U205
XV de Jau U204
Santos U205
Portuguesa Santista U201
Corinthians U204
Piracicaba U201
Sao Paulo U204
Maua FC U202
Santo Andre U203
Osasco Sporting U206
Ibrachina U2010
Osasco Audax U200
Ferroviaria U206
Mirassol U204
Guarani U203
Desportivo U200
CA Juventus U200
Gremio Prudente U203
Ituano U204
Sao Caetano U200
Ponte Preta U201
Capivariano U200
1/8-finals
Palmeiras U205
Referencia U200
Bragantino U201
Botafogo SP U204
EC Sao Bernardo U203
Uniao Suzano U202
Santos U203
Corinthians U201
Sao Paulo U204
Osasco Sporting U202
Ibrachina U200
Ferroviaria U201
Guarani U205
Gremio Prudente U202
Ituano U202
Ponte Preta U203
Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U204
Botafogo SP U201
EC Sao Bernardo U201
Santos U207
Sao Paulo U202
Ferroviaria U200
Guarani U203
Ponte Preta U200
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U204
Santos U205
Sao Paulo U204
Guarani U201
Final
Santos U205
Sao Paulo U204