Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portuguesa vs Academia Puerto Cabello

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez, Araure
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Canete J.
Assist: Salega G.
32'
Suarez C.
35'
Zuniga K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Portuguesa and Academia Puerto Cabello finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portuguesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Portuguesa
35%
Draws
32%
Academia Puerto Cabello
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Academia Puerto Cabello carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 68%
Academia Puerto Cabello Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Academia Puerto Cabello
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa
2:1
May 17, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Academia Puerto Cabello
1:0
May 13, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Academia Puerto Cabello
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Academia Puerto Cabello
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Canete J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rojas R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Academia Puerto Cabello Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa 41 / 100
Academia Puerto Cabello 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Academia Puerto Cabello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuguesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Academia Puerto Cabello conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Portuguesa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa VS Academia Puerto Cabello
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa

(Home)
19 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
2 : 1
Portuguesa
16 Sept
Portuguesa
2 : 1
Estudiantes Merida
13 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 1
Portuguesa
05 Sept
Portuguesa
1 : 1
Zamora
02 Sept
Caracas
1 : 1
Portuguesa
Page 1 of 6

Academia Puerto Cabello

(Away)
19 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
2 : 1
Portuguesa
15 Sept
Dep. Tachira
1 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
12 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 2
Carabobo
07 Sept
Universidad Central
0 : 0
Academia Puerto Cabello
03 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
1 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo La Guaira 13 7 6 0 15:6 27
2 Metropolitanos 13 7 4 2 17:10 25
3 Dep. Tachira 13 7 3 3 17:12 24
4 Universidad Central 13 7 2 4 24:20 23
5 Portuguesa 13 5 5 3 20:12 20
6 Estudiantes Merida 13 6 2 5 21:18 20
7 Carabobo 13 4 7 2 23:14 19
8 Academia Puerto Cabello 13 4 5 4 16:14 17
9 Zamora 13 4 5 4 14:14 17
10 Caracas 13 3 6 4 15:17 15
11 Rayo Zuliano 13 4 2 7 13:23 14
12 Monagas 13 3 2 8 14:22 11
13 Academia Anzoategui 13 2 3 8 15:25 9
14 Trujillanos 13 0 4 9 9:26 4
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)