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Portuguesa vs Corinthians

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Estadio do Caninde
Sun, Feb 22, 2026
1 - 2
11:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Rene
Penalty Missed
37' Event
Ze Vitor
42'
Caio Roque

AI Match Summary

The Paulista game between Portuguesa and Corinthians finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Corinthians.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Portuguesa
39%
Draws
31%
Corinthians
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Corinthians haven't matched Portuguesa's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 68%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Corinthians
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Paulista
Portuguesa vs Corinthians
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 Paulista
Portuguesa vs Corinthians
2:2
Feb 11, 2024 Paulista
Corinthians vs Portuguesa
2:0
Feb 12, 2023 Paulista
Portuguesa vs Corinthians
0:0
Mar 24, 2015 Paulista
Corinthians vs Portuguesa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ze Vitor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Corinthians Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa 41 / 100
Corinthians 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Corinthians

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portuguesa scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Portuguesa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Corinthians let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa VS Corinthians
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Novorizontino2
Santos1
Portuguesa1
Corinthians2
Palmeiras4
Capivariano0
Bragantino1
Sao Paulo2
Semi-finals
Novorizontino1
Corinthians0
Palmeiras2
Sao Paulo1
Final
Novorizontino1
Palmeiras3