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Portuguesa vs Guarani B

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Portuguesa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Portuguesa
20%
Draws
7%
Guarani B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portuguesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Portuguesa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Portuguesa a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Portuguesa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Portuguesa, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Guarani B
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 18 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.81 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2020 Copa Paulista
Portuguesa vs Guarani B
2:0
Nov 4, 2020 Copa Paulista
Guarani B vs Portuguesa
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa 95 / 100
Guarani B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Guarani B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuguesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guarani B conceded in 88% of 16 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Portuguesa scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Portuguesa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa

(Home)
25 Jul
Portuguesa
1 : 0
Uberlandia
18 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 0
Portuguesa
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0
Marcilio Dias
04 Jul
Marcilio Dias
1 : 1
Portuguesa
27 Jun
Portuguesa
1 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 7

Guarani B

(Away)
16 Aug
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2
Guarani B
11 Aug
Guarani B
1 : 2
Sao Bento
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 0
Guarani B
28 Jul
Guarani B
0 : 3
Primavera EC
19 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0
Guarani B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 6 4 0 2 15:10 12
2 Botafogo SP B 6 2 3 1 13:9 9
3 Novorizontino 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
4 Rio Preto EC 6 1 1 4 9:19 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comercial 6 2 3 1 7:5 9
2 Ferroviaria 6 1 5 0 4:3 8
3 Velo Clube 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Lemense 6 1 3 2 2:4 6
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piracicaba 6 5 0 1 11:5 15
2 Primavera EC 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
3 Audax-SP 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
4 Internacional de Limeira 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Bernardo 6 3 3 0 12:6 12
2 Portuguesa Santista 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Ponte Preta B 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
4 Juventus-SP 6 0 2 4 3:12 2
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa 6 5 1 0 15:1 16
2 Agua Santa 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
3 Nacional SP 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
4 Guarani B 6 1 1 4 8:16 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams