Sport Picks
Portuguesa vs Marcilio Dias Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Serie D Estadio do Caninde, Sao Paulo 
Match Events
9'
9'
Lucas Hipolito
34'
34'
Roldan
34'
34'
Roldan
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Portuguesa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Portuguesa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Portuguesa, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 23%
Marcilio Dias Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portuguesa | Marcilio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 Serie D
Portuguesa vs Marcilio Dias
2:0
Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
Marcilio Dias vs Portuguesa
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portuguesa Compare
Top Goalscorer Lucas Hipolito
1 Goals Assists Leader Igor Torres
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Marcilio Dias Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portuguesa 33 / 100
Marcilio Dias 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portuguesa Marcilio Dias
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marcilio Dias Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Portuguesa scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Marcilio Dias's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Portuguesa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portuguesa VS Marcilio Dias
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Portuguesa
(Home) 25 Jul
Portuguesa
1 : 0 Uberlandia
18 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 0 Portuguesa
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0 Marcilio Dias
04 Jul
Marcilio Dias
1 : 1 Portuguesa
27 Jun
Portuguesa
1 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Portuguesa
1 : 0 Uberlandia
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0 Marcilio Dias
27 Jun
Portuguesa
1 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
06 Jun
Portuguesa
2 : 0 Portuguesa RJ
23 May
Portuguesa
4 : 1 America RJ
Page 1 of 4
Marcilio Dias
(Away) 26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1 Marcilio Dias
19 Sept
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2 Hercilio Luz
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1 Marcilio Dias
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5 Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2 Joinville
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1 Marcilio Dias
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1 Marcilio Dias
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5 Marcilio Dias
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0 Marcilio Dias
21 Jun
FC Cascavel
2 : 2 Marcilio Dias
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
