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Post Wien vs DSV Fortuna 05

Austria Austria

Wien 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Post Wien play DSV Fortuna 05 in the Wien 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Post Wien averaged 1.19 goals scored and 2.68 conceded. DSV Fortuna 05 averaged 1.18 goals scored and 2.93 conceded. In past meetings, Post Wien won 4, DSV Fortuna 05 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 27, 2013 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Post Wien and 2.13 for DSV Fortuna 05. This points to a Post Wien double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Post Wien
15%
Draws
37%
DSV Fortuna 05
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Post Wien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Post Wien picked up more points recently compared to DSV Fortuna 05.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Post Wien Clean Sheet 10%
DSV Fortuna 05 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Post Wien DSV Fortuna 05
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 4 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 1.19 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.68 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2013 Wien
Post Wien vs DSV Fortuna 05
0:1
Oct 7, 2012 Wien
DSV Fortuna 05 vs Post Wien
3:5
May 5, 2012 Wien
Post Wien vs DSV Fortuna 05
4:1
Oct 16, 2011 Wien
DSV Fortuna 05 vs Post Wien
1:2
May 7, 2011 Wien
Post Wien vs DSV Fortuna 05
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Post Wien 45 / 100
DSV Fortuna 05 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Post Wien DSV Fortuna 05

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Post Wien or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Post Wien attacking → ← attacking DSV Fortuna 05

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Post Wien scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

DSV Fortuna 05 let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Post Wien went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

DSV Fortuna 05 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 18
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
3.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25