Sport Picks
Posta Rangers vs Mathare United
Kenya
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
29'
29'
Ojiambo F.
71'
71'
Ochieng B.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Posta Rangers and Mathare United finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Posta Rangers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Mathare United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Posta Rangers a 37% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Posta Rangers Clean Sheet 68%
Mathare United Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Posta Rangers | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Mathare United
1:1
Sep 22, 2025 Premier League
Mathare United vs Posta Rangers
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Mathare United vs Posta Rangers
3:2
Nov 23, 2024 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Mathare United
0:2
Apr 22, 2023 Premier League
Mathare United vs Posta Rangers
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Posta Rangers Compare
Top Goalscorer Ojiambo F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Mathare United Compare
Top Goalscorer Ochieng B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Posta Rangers 77 / 100
Mathare United 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Posta Rangers Mathare United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Posta Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mathare United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Posta Rangers stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Posta Rangers scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Posta Rangers VS Mathare United
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Posta Rangers
(Home) 31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1 Ulinzi Stars
23 May
KCB
0 : 1 Posta Rangers
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Posta Rangers
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0 Sofapaka
06 May
Bandari
1 : 1 Posta Rangers
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1 Ulinzi Stars
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0 Sofapaka
24 Apr
Posta Rangers
1 : 1 Bidco United
19 Apr
Posta Rangers
0 : 3 APS Bomet
12 Apr
Posta Rangers
0 : 2 Nairobi United
Page 1 of 4
Mathare United
(Away) 31 May
Mathare United
1 : 0 Bandari
23 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 1 Mathare United
16 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 1 Mathare United
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2 APS Bomet
02 May
Sofapaka
2 : 2 Mathare United
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 1 Mathare United
16 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 1 Mathare United
02 May
Sofapaka
2 : 2 Mathare United
04 Apr
Kakamega Homeboyz
3 : 0 Mathare United
22 Mar
Muranga
1 : 1 Mathare United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)
