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Potencia vs Atenas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Cutti A.
74'
Rolin A.
90' Event
Mereles E.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2023 game between Potencia and Atenas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Potencia
35%
Draws
45%
Atenas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atenas come out ahead of Potencia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Atenas a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Potencia Clean Sheet 16%
Atenas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potencia Atenas
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 4 20
Draws 10 11
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.73 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.02
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2023 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Potencia
3:0
Jul 30, 2023 Segunda Division
Potencia vs Atenas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cutti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Atenas Compare

Top Goalscorer Mereles E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potencia 28 / 100
Atenas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potencia Atenas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atenas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Potencia scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Atenas conceded in 59% of 41 recent games.

Potencia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atenas
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Potencia

(Home)
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0
Rocha
04 Dec
Atenas
3 : 0
Potencia
29 Nov
Potencia
1 : 1
Rampla Juniors
26 Nov
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 0
Potencia
20 Nov
Potencia
0 : 2
Cerrito
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Atenas

(Away)
03 Oct
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Atenas
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
19 Sept
La Luz
0 : 1
Atenas
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
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