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Potencia vs Club Nacional

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Fagundez F.
61' Event
Fagundez F.
68' Event
Ramirez I.

AI Match Summary

The Copa Uruguay 2023 game between Potencia and Club Nacional finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club Nacional.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Potencia
40%
Draws
29%
Club Nacional
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Nacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Potencia Clean Sheet 16%
Club Nacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potencia Club Nacional
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 15
Draws 10 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2023 Copa Uruguay
Potencia vs Club Nacional
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potencia Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Club Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Fagundez F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ramirez I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potencia 31 / 100
Club Nacional 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potencia Club Nacional

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Club Nacional has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Potencia scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Potencia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Club Nacional
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Huracan Buceo1
Ferro Carril2
TBD-
Bella Vista-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
CA Cerro-
Tacuarembo-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fenix-
Wanderers Durazno0
Terremoto2
TBD-
Miramar-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wanderers-
Juventud Colonia2
Salto FC1
TBD-
Albion-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
River Plate Montevideo-
Cooper0
Libertad San Carlos1
TBD-
Uruguay Montevideo FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plaza Colonia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Defensor Sp.-
Campana1
Club Atletico Basanez2
TBD-
Cerrito-
Quilmes2
Central Esp.1
TBD-
Rampla Juniors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
La Luz-
Lavalleja (Minas)-
Rocha-
TBD-
Juventud-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Danubio-
Huracan (Treinta y Tres)0
Lito1
TBD-
Sud America-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Penarol-
Universitario Salto-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Boston River-
Salus0
Atletico Juanico4
TBD-
Atenas-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liverpool M.-
Colon2
Paysandu Bella Vista1
TBD-
Potencia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Club Nacional-
Nacional Nueva Helvecia2
Villa Espanola1
TBD-
Progreso-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Montevideo City-
Central San Jose-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maldonado-
Deutscher0
Sportivo Barracas1
TBD-
Rentistas-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cerro Largo-
Club Oriental De Futbol-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Racing Montevideo-
1/32-finals
Ferro Carril1
Bella Vista0
TBD-
CA Cerro-
Tacuarembo-
TBD-
TBD-
Fenix-
Terremoto1
Miramar2
TBD-
Wanderers-
Juventud Colonia0
Albion5
TBD-
River Plate Montevideo-
Libertad San Carlos0
Uruguay Montevideo FC2
TBD-
Plaza Colonia-
TBD-
Defensor Sp.-
Club Atletico Basanez0
Cerrito1
Quilmes1
Rampla Juniors2
TBD-
La Luz-
Lavalleja (Minas)2
Juventud1
TBD-
Danubio-
Lito0
Sud America2
TBD-
Penarol-
Universitario Salto-
TBD-
TBD-
Boston River-
Atletico Juanico1
Atenas2
TBD-
Liverpool M.-
Colon2
Potencia3
TBD-
Club Nacional-
Nacional Nueva Helvecia1
Progreso2
TBD-
Montevideo City-
Central San Jose-
TBD-
TBD-
Maldonado-
Sportivo Barracas2
Rentistas1
TBD-
Cerro Largo-
Club Oriental De Futbol-
TBD-
TBD-
Racing Montevideo-
1/16-finals
Ferro Carril0
CA Cerro1
Tacuarembo1
Fenix2
Miramar0
Wanderers1
Albion0
River Plate Montevideo2
Uruguay Montevideo FC1
Plaza Colonia2
Defensor Sp.3
Cerrito0
Rampla Juniors2
La Luz3
Lavalleja (Minas)1
Danubio3
Sud America0
Penarol3
Universitario Salto1
Boston River3
Atenas2
Liverpool M.3
Potencia0
Club Nacional4
Progreso1
Montevideo City2
Central San Jose0
Maldonado1
Sportivo Barracas3
Cerro Largo2
Club Oriental De Futbol1
Racing Montevideo0
1/8-finals
CA Cerro2
Fenix1
Wanderers0
River Plate Montevideo4
Plaza Colonia0
Defensor Sp.1
La Luz0
Danubio1
Penarol2
Boston River0
Liverpool M.2
Club Nacional1
Montevideo City2
Maldonado0
Sportivo Barracas2
Club Oriental De Futbol1
Quarter-finals
CA Cerro1
River Plate Montevideo2
Defensor Sp.1
Danubio0
Penarol3
Liverpool M.1
Montevideo City8
Sportivo Barracas1
Semi-finals
River Plate Montevideo1
Defensor Sp.2
Penarol1
Montevideo City3
Final
Defensor Sp.3
Montevideo City2