Sport Picks
Potenza vs Audace Cerignola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza 
Match Events
16'
16'
Selleri G.
Assist: Mazzeo L.
38'
38'
Mazzeo L.
Assist: Maisto F.
43'
43'
Emmausso M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Potenza in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Potenza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Potenza lately — more wins on the board than Audace Cerignola.
- Potenza are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Potenza have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Audace Cerignola, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Potenza Clean Sheet 68%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Potenza | Audace Cerignola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 9, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Potenza
4:0
Nov 26, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Potenza vs Audace Cerignola
4:2
Aug 30, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Audace Cerignola
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Audace Cerignola
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Potenza
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Potenza Compare
Top Goalscorer Mazzeo L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Selleri G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Audace Cerignola Compare
Top Goalscorer Emmausso M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Potenza 59 / 100
Audace Cerignola 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Potenza Audace Cerignola
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Potenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Potenza scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Audace Cerignola has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Potenza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Potenza VS Audace Cerignola
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Potenza
(Home) 04 Oct
Potenza
4 : 2 Picerno
27 Sept
Barletta
1 : 4 Potenza
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2 Cavese
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0 Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2 Potenza
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Potenza
4 : 2 Picerno
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2 Cavese
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0 Monopoli
01 Sept
Potenza
2 : 1 Monopoli
21 Aug
Potenza
4 : 1 Casarano
Page 1 of 3
Audace Cerignola
(Away) 04 Oct
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Altamura
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1 Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0 Giugliano
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1 Audace Cerignola
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2 Audace Cerignola
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2
