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Potenza vs Latina Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Murano J.
8'
Schimmenti E.
20'
Castorani M.

AI Match Summary

Potenza in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Potenza
20%
Draws
33%
Latina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Potenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Potenza lately — more wins on the board than Latina.
  • Win probability leans Potenza's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Potenza have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Potenza, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Potenza Clean Sheet 68%
Latina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potenza Latina
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Latina vs Potenza
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Potenza vs Latina
3:1
Feb 21, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Latina vs Potenza
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Latina
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Latina vs Potenza
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Murano J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schimmenti E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Latina Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potenza 50 / 100
Latina 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potenza Latina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Potenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Potenza scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Latina let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Potenza stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Potenza VS Latina
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Potenza

(Home)
27 Sept
Barletta
1 : 4
Potenza
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0
Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2
Potenza
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0
Monopoli
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Latina

(Away)
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
05 Sept
Latina
2 : 0
Forli FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2