Sport Picks
Match Events
39'
39'
Paukstys S.
67'
67'
Murano J.
(Penalty)
1'
1'
Fall M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Potenza lately — more wins on the board than Monopoli.
- Win probability leans Potenza's way, sitting at 50%.
- Potenza have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Potenza, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Potenza Clean Sheet 68%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Potenza | Monopoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Monopoli
1:0
Sep 1, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Potenza vs Monopoli
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Monopoli
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Potenza
2:1
Oct 29, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Monopoli vs Potenza
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Potenza Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Monopoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Paukstys S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Potenza 59 / 100
Monopoli 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Potenza Monopoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Potenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Potenza found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Monopoli let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Potenza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Potenza VS Monopoli
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Potenza
(Home) 04 Oct
Potenza
4 : 2 Picerno
27 Sept
Barletta
1 : 4 Potenza
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2 Cavese
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0 Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2 Potenza
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Potenza
4 : 2 Picerno
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2 Cavese
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0 Monopoli
01 Sept
Potenza
2 : 1 Monopoli
21 Aug
Potenza
4 : 1 Casarano
Page 1 of 3
Monopoli
(Away) 03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0 A.C. Savoia
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1 Monopoli
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2 Crotone
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0 Monopoli
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0 Foggia
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1 Monopoli
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0 Monopoli
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0 Monopoli
01 Sept
Potenza
2 : 1 Monopoli
24 Aug
Altamura
1 : 0 Monopoli
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
