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Potiguar de Mossoró vs Baraunas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Samuel
38' Event
Saavedra B.

AI Match Summary

The Potiguar 2025 game between Potiguar de Mossoró and Baraunas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Potiguar de Mossoró.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Potiguar de Mossoró
20%
Draws
42%
Baraunas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baraunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Baraunas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Potiguar de Mossoró Clean Sheet 20%
Baraunas Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potiguar de Mossoró Baraunas
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.94 1.28
Goals Conceded 1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Potiguar
Potiguar de Mossoró vs Baraunas
2:0
Jan 21, 2024 Potiguar
Baraunas vs Potiguar de Mossoró
1:2
Jan 17, 2024 Potiguar
Potiguar de Mossoró vs Baraunas
1:2
Mar 4, 2018 Potiguar
Baraunas vs Potiguar de Mossoró
1:3
Jan 28, 2018 Potiguar
Potiguar de Mossoró vs Baraunas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potiguar de Mossoró Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saavedra B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Baraunas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potiguar de Mossoró 32 / 100
Baraunas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potiguar de Mossoró Baraunas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baraunas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Potiguar de Mossoró remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Potiguar de Mossoró scored in 56% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Potiguar de Mossoró VS Baraunas
0.88 Goals Scored 1.29
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.57
38% Over 1.5 57%
13% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Potiguar de Mossoró

(Home)
15 Mar
America RN
1 : 1
Potiguar de Mossoró
07 Mar
Potiguar de Mossoró
1 : 3
America RN
04 Mar
Potiguar de Mossoró
1 : 0
Laguna RN
28 Feb
Laguna RN
0 : 0
Potiguar de Mossoró
07 Feb
Potiguar de Mossoró
3 : 1
Globo FC
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Baraunas

(Away)
07 Oct
Visao Celeste
0 : 2
Baraunas
23 Nov
QFC
2 : 1
Baraunas
18 Nov
Potyguar Seridoense
1 : 0
Baraunas
09 Nov
Baraunas
3 : 1
Mossoro
02 Nov
Baraunas
1 : 0
Potyguar Seridoense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABC 7 5 2 0 13:1 17
2 America RN 7 5 1 1 13:2 16
3 Laguna RN 7 3 4 0 13:6 13
4 Potiguar de Mossoró 7 4 0 3 9:7 12
5 Santa Cruz de Natal 7 2 1 4 10:14 7
6 Globo FC 7 2 1 4 5:11 7
7 Baraunas 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
8 CE Forca E Luz 7 0 2 5 4:17 2
Promotion - Potiguar 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Potiguar 2025 (Play Offs)