Sport Picks
Potiguar de Mossoró vs Pacajus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie D 2023 
Match Events
14'
14'
Vitinho
27'
27'
do Nascimento de Souza M. A.
45'
45'
Vitinho
AI Match Summary
Potiguar de Mossoró in this Serie D 2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Potiguar de Mossoró.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Potiguar de Mossoró
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Potiguar de Mossoró lately — more wins on the board than Pacajus.
- Model gives Potiguar de Mossoró a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Potiguar de Mossoró Clean Sheet 68%
Pacajus Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Potiguar de Mossoró | Pacajus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2023 Serie D
Potiguar de Mossoró vs Pacajus
5:1
Jun 3, 2023 Serie D
Pacajus vs Potiguar de Mossoró
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Potiguar de Mossoró Compare
Top Goalscorer Vitinho
2 Goals Assists Leader do Nascimento de Souza M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Pacajus Compare
Top Goalscorer Edson
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Potiguar de Mossoró 59 / 100
Pacajus 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Potiguar de Mossoró Pacajus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Potiguar de Mossoró Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Pacajus has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Potiguar de Mossoró went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Potiguar de Mossoró scored in 52% of their last 33 outings.
Scoring Trends
Potiguar de Mossoró VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Potiguar de Mossoró
(Home) 15 Mar
America RN
1 : 1 Potiguar de Mossoró
07 Mar
Potiguar de Mossoró
1 : 3 America RN
04 Mar
Potiguar de Mossoró
1 : 0 Laguna RN
28 Feb
Laguna RN
0 : 0 Potiguar de Mossoró
07 Feb
Potiguar de Mossoró
3 : 1 Globo FC
Page 1 of 7
07 Mar
Potiguar de Mossoró
1 : 3 America RN
04 Mar
Potiguar de Mossoró
1 : 0 Laguna RN
07 Feb
Potiguar de Mossoró
3 : 1 Globo FC
04 Feb
Potiguar de Mossoró
0 : 0 America RN
25 Jan
Potiguar de Mossoró
2 : 0 Potyguar Seridoense
Page 1 of 4
Pacajus
(Away) 31 Mar
Pacajus
1 : 2 Cariri FC
27 Mar
Itapipoca
3 : 2 Pacajus
24 Mar
Icasa
2 : 2 Pacajus
16 Mar
Pacajus
1 : 1 Tirol
10 Mar
Pacajus
1 : 1 Maranguape
Page 1 of 6
27 Mar
Itapipoca
3 : 2 Pacajus
24 Mar
Icasa
2 : 2 Pacajus
07 Mar
Tiradentes
1 : 1 Pacajus
03 Mar
Guarani de Juazeiro
1 : 0 Pacajus
06 Aug
Retro
2 : 1 Pacajus
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 22:7 | 30 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 21:10 | 28 |
| 3 | Aguia De Maraba | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 18:8 | 24 |
| 4 | Princesa do Solimoes | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 21:13 | 19 |
| 5 | Sao Raimundo RR | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 24:24 | 18 |
| 6 | SC Humaita | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | 18 |
| 7 | Sao Francisco FC (AC) | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5:33 | 9 |
| 8 | Trem | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8:19 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferroviario | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 30:6 | 36 |
| 2 | Atletico Cearense | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 22:15 | 23 |
| 3 | Maranhao | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 18:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Parnahyba | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:23 | 17 |
| 5 | Caucaia | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 6 | Tocantinopolis | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14:15 | 15 |
| 7 | Cordino EC | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:26 | 11 |
| 8 | Fluminense-PI | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 9:24 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sousa | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:15 | 26 |
| 2 | Nacional PB | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:11 | 24 |
| 3 | Potiguar de Mossoró | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16:11 | 23 |
| 4 | Pacajus | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 22 |
| 5 | Campinense | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 | Iguatu | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 16:19 | 16 |
| 8 | Globo FC | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5:34 | 4 |
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Retro | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Bahia de Feira | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 15:9 | 21 |
| 3 | ASA | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Falcon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 5 | Sergipe | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro Arapiraca | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:22 | 18 |
| 7 | Alagoinhas | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:18 | 15 |
| 8 | Jacuipense | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 20:19 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceilandia | 14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 28:5 | 28 |
| 2 | Anapolis | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 26:6 | 25 |
| 3 | Operario VG | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 29:16 | 24 |
| 4 | Brasiliense | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 31:11 | 24 |
| 5 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:9 | 23 |
| 6 | Ipora | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 7 | Interporto | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 3:47 | 6 |
| 8 | Real Ariquemes | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4:44 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletic Club | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 19:9 | 29 |
| 2 | Portuguesa RJ | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 25:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Democrata GV | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:15 | 25 |
| 4 | Vitoria ES | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23:20 | 20 |
| 5 | Santo Andre | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Resende | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12:18 | 14 |
| 7 | Nova Iguacu | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:23 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Noroeste | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 9:23 | 7 |
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrocinense | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 16:8 | 24 |
| 2 | Maringa FC | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 13:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Internacional de Limeira | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 15:15 | 22 |
| 4 | Ferroviaria | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 5 | CRAC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Piracicaba | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:21 | 16 |
| 7 | FC Cascavel | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12:17 | 16 |
| 8 | Operario MS | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 5:19 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21:10 | 29 |
| 2 | SER Caxias do Sul | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 23 |
| 3 | Camboriu | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 22 |
| 4 | Brasil de Pelotas | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Sao Joseense | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 20 |
| 6 | Concordia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Aimore | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8:21 | 10 |
| 8 | Novo Hamburgo | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13:23 | 7 |
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)
