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Potyguar Seridoense vs ABC

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Tchagnao F.
38' Event
Robertinho
72' Event
Igor Bahia
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Potiguar game between Potyguar Seridoense and ABC finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ABC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Potyguar Seridoense
20%
Draws
57%
ABC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ABC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ABC come out ahead of Potyguar Seridoense on wins alone.
  • ABC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors ABC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Potyguar Seridoense Clean Sheet 13%
ABC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potyguar Seridoense ABC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 17
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Potiguar
Potyguar Seridoense vs ABC
2:4
Mar 9, 2024 Potiguar
ABC vs Potyguar Seridoense
2:2
Feb 16, 2022 Potiguar
Potyguar Seridoense vs ABC
0:2
Feb 5, 2022 Potiguar
ABC vs Potyguar Seridoense
2:0
Jan 12, 2022 Potiguar
ABC vs Potyguar Seridoense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potyguar Seridoense Compare

Top Goalscorer Tchagnao F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robertinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

ABC Compare

Top Goalscorer Wallyson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cayo Tenorio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potyguar Seridoense 10 / 100
ABC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potyguar Seridoense ABC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Potyguar Seridoense's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

ABC let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Potyguar Seridoense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS ABC
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Potyguar Seridoense

(Home)
08 Feb
Laguna RN
2 : 2
Potyguar Seridoense
04 Feb
QFC
4 : 1
Potyguar Seridoense
31 Jan
Potyguar Seridoense
2 : 4
ABC
25 Jan
Potiguar de Mossoró
2 : 0
Potyguar Seridoense
18 Jan
Potyguar Seridoense
1 : 0
Globo FC
Page 1 of 6

ABC

(Away)
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1
Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
ABC
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2
ABC
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RN 7 5 2 0 16:3 17
2 ABC 7 4 3 0 16:5 15
3 QFC 7 4 2 1 14:5 14
4 Potiguar de Mossoró 7 4 2 1 7:3 14
5 Laguna RN 7 1 2 4 12:17 5
6 Santa Cruz de Natal 7 1 2 4 9:19 5
7 Potyguar Seridoense 7 1 1 5 8:19 4
8 Globo FC 7 0 2 5 7:18 2
Promotion - Potiguar (Play Offs)
Promotion - Potiguar (Play Offs)
Relegation - Potiguar 2 2027 (Main)