Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Poza Rica vs FC Racing

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Trejo D.
90' Event
Birche J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Poza Rica
35%
Draws
32%
FC Racing
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Poza Rica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Poza Rica are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Poza Rica have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Racing, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Poza Rica Clean Sheet 18%
FC Racing Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poza Rica FC Racing
Matches Played 31 24
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.45 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga Premier Serie B
Poza Rica vs FC Racing
1:1
Apr 1, 2026 Liga Premier Serie B
FC Racing vs Poza Rica
2:1
Jan 16, 2026 Liga Premier Serie B
Poza Rica vs FC Racing
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
FC Racing vs Poza Rica
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poza Rica Compare

Top Goalscorer Trejo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

FC Racing Compare

Top Goalscorer Birche J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poza Rica 76 / 100
FC Racing 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poza Rica FC Racing

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poza Rica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Poza Rica scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Poza Rica remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

FC Racing has conceded goals in 54% of their last 24 outings.

Scoring Trends

Poza Rica VS FC Racing
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Poza Rica

(Home)
04 Apr
Poza Rica
1 : 1
FC Racing
01 Apr
FC Racing
2 : 1
Poza Rica
28 Mar
Poza Rica
2 : 1
Dragones de Oaxaca
26 Mar
Dragones de Oaxaca
1 : 1
Poza Rica
17 Mar
Poza Rica
3 : 0
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
Page 1 of 7

FC Racing

(Away)
18 Apr
Artesanos Metepec
0 : 1
FC Racing
11 Apr
FC Racing
1 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
04 Apr
Poza Rica
1 : 1
FC Racing
01 Apr
FC Racing
2 : 1
Poza Rica
28 Mar
FC Racing
2 : 2
CD Ayense
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Artesanos Metepec -
TBD -
Gorilas de Juanacatlan 4
Acambaro 0
Poza Rica 3
Dragones de Oaxaca 2
FC Racing 3
CD Ayense 3
Semi-finals
Artesanos Metepec 3
Gorilas de Juanacatlan 2
Poza Rica 2
FC Racing 3
Final
Artesanos Metepec 3
FC Racing 2