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Pozo Estrecho vs Bala Azul

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009 game between Pozo Estrecho and Bala Azul finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pozo Estrecho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Pozo Estrecho
11%
Draws
80%
Bala Azul
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bala Azul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Bala Azul carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Bala Azul taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pozo Estrecho Clean Sheet 20%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pozo Estrecho Bala Azul
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 14
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pozo Estrecho vs Bala Azul
3:1
Oct 26, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Pozo Estrecho
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozo Estrecho 12 / 100
Bala Azul 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pozo Estrecho Bala Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bala Azul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: Bala Azul registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Pozo Estrecho scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bala Azul
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pozo Estrecho

(Home)
17 May
Mazarron CF
5 : 3
Pozo Estrecho
10 May
Pozo Estrecho
2 : 1
Plus Ultra
01 May
Caravaca
6 : 1
Pozo Estrecho
26 Apr
Pozo Estrecho
2 : 2
Pinatar
19 Apr
Pozo Estrecho
0 : 3
Cartagena La Union
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Bala Azul

(Away)
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1
Bala Azul
26 Apr
Bala Azul
3 : 4
Muleno CF
19 Apr
Bala Azul
0 : 0
Club Olimpico de Totana
12 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 3
Bala Azul
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Caravaca382765115:2687
2Moratalla38258582:3283
3Cartagena La Union382311476:2780
4Yeclano38248683:3780
5Pinatar38219877:3772
6Mazarron CF381910981:4667
7Ciudad Cieza381614877:4562
8Futbol Club Jumilla381614863:3562
9Beniel3815111239:3256
10Santomera3813101551:6649
11CA Pulpileno381371850:6746
12Deportivo Murcia381291759:5645
13Lorca Deportiva II389151449:5442
14Bala Azul381242252:8640
15Plus Ultra3810101843:6440
16Calasparra FC389131643:6040
17CD Lumbreras38862441:9030
18Pozo Estrecho38862440:8830
19Muleno CF384112333:8523
20Ciudad Lorca38423232:1539
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)