Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pozo Estrecho vs Lorca Deportiva II

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lorca Deportiva II in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lorca Deportiva II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Pozo Estrecho
11%
Draws
80%
Lorca Deportiva II
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Lorca Deportiva II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Pozo Estrecho average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Lorca Deportiva II's 1.13.
  • Model gives Lorca Deportiva II a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pozo Estrecho Clean Sheet 10%
Lorca Deportiva II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pozo Estrecho Lorca Deportiva II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pozo Estrecho vs Lorca Deportiva II
0:3
Oct 12, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva II vs Pozo Estrecho
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozo Estrecho 10 / 100
Lorca Deportiva II 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pozo Estrecho Lorca Deportiva II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Lorca Deportiva II let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Pozo Estrecho scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Pozo Estrecho has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pozo Estrecho VS Lorca Deportiva II
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Caravaca382765115:2687
2Moratalla38258582:3283
3Cartagena La Union382311476:2780
4Yeclano38248683:3780
5Pinatar38219877:3772
6Mazarron CF381910981:4667
7Ciudad Cieza381614877:4562
8Futbol Club Jumilla381614863:3562
9Beniel3815111239:3256
10Santomera3813101551:6649
11CA Pulpileno381371850:6746
12Deportivo Murcia381291759:5645
13Lorca Deportiva II389151449:5442
14Bala Azul381242252:8640
15Plus Ultra3810101843:6440
16Calasparra FC389131643:6040
17CD Lumbreras38862441:9030
18Pozo Estrecho38862440:8830
19Muleno CF384112333:8523
20Ciudad Lorca38423232:1539