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Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Atl. Madrid C

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Dominguez O.
62' Event
Barrios J.
73' Event
Gross G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Pozuelo de Alarcon and Atl. Madrid C finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Madrid C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pozuelo de Alarcon
44%
Draws
20%
Atl. Madrid C
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atl. Madrid C come out ahead of Pozuelo de Alarcon on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pozuelo de Alarcon Atl. Madrid C
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 10
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Atl. Madrid C
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
0:0
Jan 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
2:1
Aug 31, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Atl. Madrid C
1:0
Apr 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Atl. Madrid C
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pozuelo de Alarcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Atl. Madrid C Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrios J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gross G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 / 100
Atl. Madrid C 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pozuelo de Alarcon Atl. Madrid C

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atl. Madrid C conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Pozuelo de Alarcon found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Pozuelo de Alarcon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pozuelo de Alarcon VS Atl. Madrid C
1 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622