Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026

Pozuelo de Alarcon

1 - 1

Carabanchel

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Gutierrez H.

81'

Aham C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Pozuelo de Alarcon and Carabanchel finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Pozuelo de Alarcon

17%

Draws

13%

Carabanchel

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Pozuelo de Alarcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Carabanchel haven't matched Pozuelo de Alarcon's recent run of results.
Pozuelo de Alarcon are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 68%

Carabanchel Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pozuelo de Alarcon	Carabanchel
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	8
Draws	10	10
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	1	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Carabanchel vs Pozuelo de Alarcon

3:2

Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Carabanchel

1:1

Feb 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Carabanchel vs Pozuelo de Alarcon

0:0

Oct 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Carabanchel

0:1

Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Carabanchel vs Pozuelo de Alarcon

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pozuelo de Alarcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Aham C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Carabanchel Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozuelo de Alarcon 77 / 100

Carabanchel 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pozuelo de Alarcon Carabanchel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POZ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pozuelo de Alarcon scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Carabanchel let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Pozuelo de Alarcon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pozuelo de Alarcon VS Carabanchel

1 Goals Scored 0.88

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pozuelo de Alarcon

(Home)

10 May

Pozuelo de Alarcon

3 : 1

Tres Cantos

03 May

Carabanchel

3 : 2

Pozuelo de Alarcon

25 Apr

Pozuelo de Alarcon

2 : 0

CD Mostoles

19 Apr

San Sebastian Reyes B

1 : 1

Pozuelo de Alarcon

12 Apr

Pozuelo de Alarcon

4 : 1

Ciudad de Madrid

Page 1 of 6

Carabanchel

(Away)

10 May

Siello

3 : 0

Carabanchel

03 May

Carabanchel

3 : 2

Pozuelo de Alarcon

25 Apr

Leganes B

0 : 1

Carabanchel

19 Apr

Carabanchel

0 : 1

Trival Valderas

12 Apr

AD Torrejon

1 : 1

Carabanchel

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atl. Madrid C	34	18	10	6	83:46	64
2	Trival Valderas	34	18	6	10	50:36	60
3	AD Torrejon	34	17	9	8	57:46	60
4	CD Las Rozas	34	16	8	10	58:42	56
5	Leganes B	34	15	9	10	63:33	54
6	Union Adarve	34	15	8	11	48:42	53
7	CD Mostoles	34	14	9	11	51:45	51
8	San Sebastian Reyes B	34	12	13	9	45:35	49
9	Pozuelo de Alarcon	34	12	12	10	40:33	48
10	Galapagar	34	11	13	10	42:47	46
11	Mexico	34	12	9	13	45:49	45
12	Siello	34	13	5	16	39:45	44
13	Alcorcon B	34	11	11	12	37:34	44
14	Villaverde San Andres	34	10	13	11	32:44	43
15	Carabanchel	34	9	11	14	30:36	38
16	Tres Cantos	34	10	3	21	40:65	33
17	Parla	34	7	6	21	29:66	27
18	Ciudad de Madrid	34	5	7	22	31:76	22

Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)