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Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Marchamalo

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Salazar G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pozuelo de Alarcon and Marchamalo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marchamalo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pozuelo de Alarcon
35%
Draws
37%
Marchamalo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marchamalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marchamalo come out ahead of Pozuelo de Alarcon on wins alone.
  • Model gives Marchamalo a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 16%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pozuelo de Alarcon Marchamalo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Marchamalo
0:1
Sep 3, 2022 Club Friendly
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Marchamalo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pozuelo de Alarcon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Marchamalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Salazar G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozuelo de Alarcon 23 / 100
Marchamalo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pozuelo de Alarcon Marchamalo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marchamalo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pozuelo de Alarcon scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Marchamalo conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Pozuelo de Alarcon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pozuelo de Alarcon VS Marchamalo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pozuelo de Alarcon

(Home)
04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
27 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
12 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
1 : 1
RC Alcobendas
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
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Marchamalo

(Away)
03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Tarancon
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2
Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa
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