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Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Mexico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pozuelo de Alarcon host Mexico in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Pozuelo de Alarcon at 1.16 goals for, 1.16 against; Mexico at 1.23 for, 1.33 against. Head-to-head, Pozuelo de Alarcon have won 2 to Mexico's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.38) point toward Pozuelo de Alarcon. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Pozuelo de Alarcon
35%
Draws
30%
Mexico
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pozuelo de Alarcon come out ahead of Mexico on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 17%
Mexico Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pozuelo de Alarcon Mexico
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.16 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
0:3
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Mexico
1:2
Feb 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
2:0
Oct 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Mexico
0:0
May 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozuelo de Alarcon 31 / 100
Mexico 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pozuelo de Alarcon Mexico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pozuelo de Alarcon's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Mexico let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Pozuelo de Alarcon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pozuelo de Alarcon VS Mexico
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pozuelo de Alarcon

(Home)
04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
27 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
12 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
1 : 1
RC Alcobendas
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
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Mexico

(Away)
03 Oct
Mexico
1 : 0
CP Parla Escuela
27 Sept
Siello
3 : 2
Mexico
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Union Adarve
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0
CF Fuenlabrada
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
2 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
3 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
4 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Cala Pozuelo 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
6 RC Alcobendas 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 5 1 1 3 9:13 4
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)