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Stadium Background

Prachuap vs Muang Thong Utd

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Sam Ao Stadium, Mueang Prachuap Khiri Khan
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Michel
Assist: Praphanth P.
25'
Kraikruan S.
35' Event
Mendez E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Prachuap in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Prachuap.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Prachuap
15%
Draws
45%
Muang Thong Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Muang Thong Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Prachuap lately — more wins on the board than Muang Thong Utd.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Prachuap taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Prachuap have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Prachuap Clean Sheet 20%
Muang Thong Utd Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prachuap Muang Thong Utd
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.32 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Muang Thong Utd
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Prachuap
1:4
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Muang Thong Utd vs Prachuap
3:1
Mar 16, 2025 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Muang Thong Utd
5:0
Nov 2, 2024 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Prachuap
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Prachuap Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Muang Thong Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsonkov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prachuap 40 / 100
Muang Thong Utd 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prachuap Muang Thong Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prachuap Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Prachuap's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Muang Thong Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Prachuap remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Prachuap VS Muang Thong Utd
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Prachuap

(Home)
19 Sept
Pattani
0 : 3
Prachuap
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0
Sukhothai
05 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 0
Prachuap
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
Page 1 of 7

Muang Thong Utd

(Away)
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0
Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Satun FC
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
04 Sept
Uttaradit FC
0 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
29 Aug
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 0
Police Tero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)