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Prachuap vs Uthai Thani

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Sam Ao Stadium, Mueang Prachuap Khiri Khan
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Match Events

11' Event
Mendez E.
Assist: Kanyaroj S.
30'
Mendez E.
46'
Sub
Praphanth P. In: Phasukihan J.
Out: Praphanth P.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Prachuap and Uthai Thani finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Prachuap.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Prachuap
15%
Draws
26%
Uthai Thani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Prachuap

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Prachuap come out ahead of Uthai Thani on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Prachuap taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Prachuap Clean Sheet 20%
Uthai Thani Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prachuap Uthai Thani
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Uthai Thani
2:0
Dec 20, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Uthai Thani vs Prachuap
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Prachuap
4:0
Mar 9, 2025 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Prachuap
3:1
Oct 27, 2024 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Uthai Thani
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Prachuap Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taua
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Uthai Thani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prachuap 58 / 100
Uthai Thani 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prachuap Uthai Thani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prachuap scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Uthai Thani conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Prachuap remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Prachuap VS Uthai Thani
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Prachuap

(Home)
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0
Prachuap
03 May
Prachuap
2 : 0
Uthai Thani
26 Apr
Ayutthaya United
1 : 3
Prachuap
Page 1 of 7

Uthai Thani

(Away)
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
03 May
Prachuap
2 : 0
Uthai Thani
29 Apr
Uthai Thani
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
25 Apr
Uthai Thani
0 : 1
Port MTI FC
18 Apr
Uthai Thani
4 : 1
Rayong FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)