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Pradejon vs Calasancio

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Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 game between Pradejon and Calasancio finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pradejon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pradejon
15%
Draws
34%
Calasancio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pradejon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pradejon come out ahead of Calasancio on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Pradejon Clean Sheet 20%
Calasancio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pradejon Calasancio
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.91 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.44 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Calasancio
4:1
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Pradejon
1:1
Jan 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Pradejon
2:1
Sep 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Calasancio
4:0
Mar 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Pradejon
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pradejon 31 / 100
Calasancio 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pradejon Calasancio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pradejon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Calasancio conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Calasancio lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Pradejon's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pradejon VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pradejon

(Home)
10 May
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 1
Pradejon
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1
Varea
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2
Pradejon
19 Apr
Pradejon
1 : 0
Autol
12 Apr
Berceo
4 : 1
Pradejon
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Calasancio

(Away)
06 Jun
Calasancio
1 : 1
Agoncillo
30 May
Comillas CF
4 : 0
Calasancio
23 May
Calasancio
2 : 0
Villegas
16 May
Berceo
4 : 1
Calasancio
09 May
Calasancio
0 : 4
Vianes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alfaro 20 14 3 3 35:14 45
2 Anguiano 20 13 5 2 32:11 44
3 Varea 20 12 5 3 48:12 41
4 Arnedo 20 11 3 6 30:17 36
5 CDFC La Calzada 20 8 3 9 30:26 27
6 Oyonesa 20 7 4 9 24:22 25
7 Berceo 20 7 3 10 26:36 24
8 Vianes 20 5 8 7 18:22 23
9 Agoncillo 20 6 4 10 29:36 22
10 Comillas CF 20 6 2 12 19:34 20
11 Villegas 20 0 2 18 7:68 2
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Rioja 20 14 3 3 46:14 45
2 UD Logrones B 20 11 6 3 31:18 39
3 Naxara 20 11 6 3 43:22 39
4 CD Calahorra B 20 9 8 3 30:14 35
5 Yague 20 9 4 7 30:22 31
6 Casalarreina CF 20 8 3 9 27:26 27
7 River Ebro 20 6 6 8 19:26 24
8 CD Tedeon 20 6 4 10 16:30 22
9 Pradejon 20 3 7 10 21:35 16
10 Calasancio 20 3 4 13 12:43 13
11 CCD Alberite 20 2 5 13 14:39 11
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)