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Pradejon vs Pena Balsamaiso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Araar Abdelouahab M.
89' Event
Fernandez J.
90'
Mbia S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Pradejon
15%
Draws
0%
Pena Balsamaiso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pradejon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pradejon have won more games recently than Pena Balsamaiso.
  • Pradejon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pradejon Clean Sheet 13%
Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pradejon Pena Balsamaiso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 0
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 0.97 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Pradejon
0:2
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Pena Balsamaiso
1:1
Feb 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Pradejon
1:2
Oct 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Pena Balsamaiso
1:3
Apr 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Pena Balsamaiso
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pradejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.18

Pena Balsamaiso Compare

Top Goalscorer Araar Abdelouahab M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pradejon 84 / 100
Pena Balsamaiso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pradejon Pena Balsamaiso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pradejon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pena Balsamaiso conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Pena Balsamaiso's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Pradejon's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Pradejon VS Pena Balsamaiso
1.13 Goals Scored 1.29
2 Goals Conceded 3.57
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Pradejon

(Home)
08 Oct
River Ebro
1 : 2
Pradejon
04 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Berceo
27 Sept
Comillas CF
0 : 2
Pradejon
20 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 1
Varea
13 Sept
Vianes
1 : 2
Pradejon
Page 1 of 6

Pena Balsamaiso

(Away)
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5
UD Logrones B
30 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 3
Pena Balsamaiso
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2
Pradejon
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2
Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5
Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)