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Prakovce vs OTJ Jamnik

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup 2024/2025
Sun, Jul 28, 2024
1 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

OTJ Jamnik head into this one in great shape. With an average of 1.9 xG per match, they pose a serious threat even on the road. OTJ Jamnik will likely drop deep and defend, forcing Prakovce to find a way to break them down. History suggests plenty of goals when these two play. Over 2.5 goals seems highly likely based on recent attacking form. The numbers suggest backing OTJ Jamnik has the better value, giving them a 60% chance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Prakovce
25%
Draws
60%
OTJ Jamnik
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: OTJ Jamnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Prakovce picked up more points recently compared to OTJ Jamnik.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Prakovce Clean Sheet 10%
OTJ Jamnik Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prakovce OTJ Jamnik
Matches Played 2 8
Wins 0 5
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

28.07.24 Slovak Cup
Prakovce vs OTJ Jamnik
1:2

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Prakovce

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

OTJ Jamnik

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Prakovce Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
7 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
5 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.73

OTJ Jamnik Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
14 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
10 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.37

Availability Alerts

Key Defender OTJ Jamnik • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder Prakovce • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper OTJ Jamnik • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker Prakovce • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prakovce 16 / 100
OTJ Jamnik 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prakovce OTJ Jamnik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OTJ Jamnik Win (2)
Secondary Pick OTJ Jamnik & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Prakovce will likely press early to force mistakes.

Prakovce 59%
OTJ Jamnik 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

OTJ Jamnik should settle down and try to slow the pace.

Prakovce 54%
OTJ Jamnik 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

Prakovce 51%
OTJ Jamnik 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect Prakovce to push more players wide.

Prakovce 56%
OTJ Jamnik 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

Prakovce 51%
OTJ Jamnik 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

Prakovce 62%
OTJ Jamnik 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Prakovce attacking → ← attacking OTJ Jamnik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prakovce have scored in 91% of their home games in the past 12 months.

OTJ Jamnik concede most goals (45%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 20 shots per game, well above the league median.

Prakovce are unbeaten in 8 straight matches when scoring first.

OTJ Jamnik have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 9 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: Prakovce wants a European spot, while OTJ Jamnik is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 15
1.19 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2