Sport Picks

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Prato vs Grassina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Barberini R.
79' Event
Lattarulo I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Prato
20%
Draws
7%
Grassina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Grassina haven't matched Prato's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Prato taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Prato Clean Sheet 20%
Grassina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prato Grassina
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 4
Draws 6 10
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.48 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Prato vs Grassina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Lattarulo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Grassina Compare

Top Goalscorer Barberini R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.26
Avg xA / game 0.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prato 85 / 100
Grassina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prato Grassina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grassina let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Prato scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Prato has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Prato VS Grassina
1.88 Goals Scored 0.2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 40%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Prato

(Home)
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
13 Sept
Rondinella
1 : 3
Prato
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0
Ternana
17 May
Prato
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Prato
3 : 1
Siena
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Grassina

(Away)
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1
Flaminia
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0
Grassina
13 Aug
Montevarchi
1 : 0
Grassina
16 Jun
San Donato Tavarnelle
4 : 0
Grassina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Donato Tavarnelle 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Prato 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
3 Flaminia 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
4 Follonica Gavorrano 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
5 Lucchese 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
6 Tau 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
7 Seravezza Pozzi 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
8 Siena 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
9 Montevarchi 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
10 Scandicci 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
11 Terranuova Traiana 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
12 Sasso Marconi 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
13 Mezzolara 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
14 SCD Progresso 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
15 Ternana 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
16 Grassina 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
17 Rondinella 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
18 Ghiviborgo 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)