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Prato vs Mezzolara

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Prato Logo

Prato

0 - 0
FT
Mezzolara Logo

Mezzolara

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 game between Prato and Mezzolara finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Prato
15%
Draws
21%
Mezzolara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Prato carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Prato are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Prato Clean Sheet 68%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prato Mezzolara
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 21 2
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.47 0.64
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Prato vs Mezzolara
0:0
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Prato
1:0
Feb 26, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Prato vs Mezzolara
3:1
Oct 23, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Prato
3:1
Apr 23, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Prato
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prato 95 / 100
Mezzolara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prato Mezzolara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prato's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Mezzolara let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Prato remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Prato VS Mezzolara
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Prato

(Home)
13 Sept
Rondinella
1 : 3
Prato
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0
Ternana
17 May
Prato
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Prato
3 : 1
Siena
03 May
Prato
1 : 0
Montevarchi
Page 1 of 8

Mezzolara

(Away)
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
06 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Rondinella
05 May
Mezzolara
1 : 2
SCD Progresso
28 Apr
Forli FC
2 : 0
Mezzolara
21 Apr
Mezzolara
3 : 1
Sammaurese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carpi 32 21 5 6 66:31 68
2 Ravenna 32 19 9 4 56:13 66
3 Corticella 32 18 3 11 59:40 57
4 Victor San Marino 32 17 6 9 44:37 57
5 Lentigione 32 16 8 8 49:31 56
6 Forli FC 32 16 7 9 48:35 55
7 Prato 32 12 8 12 37:41 44
8 Sangiuliano City 32 12 8 12 32:37 44
9 Fanfulla 32 11 10 11 28:35 43
10 Sant'Angelo 32 11 8 13 47:44 41
11 Aglianese Calcio 32 11 8 13 32:39 41
12 Imolese 32 12 6 14 31:33 40
13 Sammaurese 32 11 4 17 37:48 37
14 SCD Progresso 32 11 4 17 27:43 37
15 San Donnino 32 5 10 17 32:58 25
16 Certaldo 32 6 6 20 22:55 24
17 Mezzolara 32 5 6 21 23:50 21
18 Pistoiese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)