Sport Picks
Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 
Match Events
85'
85'
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Prato in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Prato.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Prato
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Prato lately — more wins on the board than San Donato Tavarnelle.
- Prato are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Prato have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Prato Clean Sheet 68%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Prato | San Donato Tavarnelle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 18 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 4 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Prato
0:2
Jan 12, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1:0
Sep 23, 2018 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Prato
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Prato 59 / 100
San Donato Tavarnelle 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prato San Donato Tavarnelle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Prato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Prato found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Prato has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
San Donato Tavarnelle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.
Games between these two average 1.25 goals.
Scoring Trends
Prato VS San Donato Tavarnelle
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Prato
(Home) 03 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1 Prato
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1 Ghiviborgo
20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1 Prato
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1 Grassina
13 Sept
Rondinella
1 : 3 Prato
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1 Ghiviborgo
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1 Grassina
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0 Ternana
17 May
Prato
1 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Prato
3 : 1 Siena
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San Donato Tavarnelle
(Away) 04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Mezzolara
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3 San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
16 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
13 Sept
Sasso Marconi
1 : 3 San Donato Tavarnelle
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
29 Jul
Grosseto
1 : 2 San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)
