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Prato vs San Donnino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Som T.
62' Event
Moreo R.
73' Event
Moreo R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 game between Prato and San Donnino finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Prato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Prato
35%
Draws
20%
San Donnino
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Prato carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Prato are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Prato Clean Sheet 68%
San Donnino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prato San Donnino
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 22 5
Draws 9 10
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.47 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Prato vs San Donnino
2:0
Nov 1, 2023 Serie D - Group D
San Donnino vs Prato
1:1
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group D
San Donnino vs Prato
1:1
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Prato vs San Donnino
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreo R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

San Donnino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prato 86 / 100
San Donnino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prato San Donnino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prato found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (38 games).

Defensive concern: San Donnino conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Prato has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Prato VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Prato

(Home)
07 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 3
Prato
03 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
Prato
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1
Ghiviborgo
20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1
Prato
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
Page 1 of 8

San Donnino

(Away)
05 May
Victor San Marino
3 : 2
San Donnino
28 Apr
San Donnino
0 : 2
Ravenna
21 Apr
Corticella
2 : 2
San Donnino
14 Apr
San Donnino
1 : 1
Sant'Angelo
07 Apr
Lentigione
2 : 3
San Donnino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carpi 32 21 5 6 66:31 68
2 Ravenna 32 19 9 4 56:13 66
3 Corticella 32 18 3 11 59:40 57
4 Victor San Marino 32 17 6 9 44:37 57
5 Lentigione 32 16 8 8 49:31 56
6 Forli FC 32 16 7 9 48:35 55
7 Prato 32 12 8 12 37:41 44
8 Sangiuliano City 32 12 8 12 32:37 44
9 Fanfulla 32 11 10 11 28:35 43
10 Sant'Angelo 32 11 8 13 47:44 41
11 Aglianese Calcio 32 11 8 13 32:39 41
12 Imolese 32 12 6 14 31:33 40
13 Sammaurese 32 11 4 17 37:48 37
14 SCD Progresso 32 11 4 17 27:43 37
15 San Donnino 32 5 10 17 32:58 25
16 Certaldo 32 6 6 20 22:55 24
17 Mezzolara 32 5 6 21 23:50 21
18 Pistoiese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)