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Prato vs Victor San Marino

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
D'Este N.
49' Event
D'Este N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 game between Prato and Victor San Marino finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Victor San Marino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Prato
6%
Draws
4%
Victor San Marino
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Prato carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Prato taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Prato Clean Sheet 68%
Victor San Marino Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prato Victor San Marino
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Prato vs Victor San Marino
0:2
Dec 17, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Victor San Marino vs Prato
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Prato Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Victor San Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Este N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prato 95 / 100
Victor San Marino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prato Victor San Marino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prato found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Victor San Marino has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Prato has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Prato VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Carpi32215666:3168
2Ravenna32199456:1366
3Corticella321831159:4057
4Victor San Marino32176944:3757
5Lentigione32168849:3156
6Forli FC32167948:3555
7Prato321281237:4144
8Sangiuliano City321281232:3744
9Fanfulla3211101128:3543
10Sant'Angelo321181347:4441
11Aglianese Calcio321181332:3941
12Imolese321261431:3340
13Sammaurese321141737:4837
14SCD Progresso321141727:4337
15San Donnino325101732:5825
16Certaldo32662022:5524
17Mezzolara32562123:5021
18Pistoiese00000:00