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Praviano vs Caudal Deportivo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Sanchez Alonso M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Praviano and Caudal Deportivo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caudal Deportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Praviano
30%
Draws
34%
Caudal Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Praviano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caudal Deportivo come out ahead of Praviano on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Praviano taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Caudal Deportivo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Praviano Clean Sheet 14%
Caudal Deportivo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Praviano Caudal Deportivo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.29 2
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.14 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Caudal Deportivo
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Praviano
3:1
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Caudal Deportivo
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Praviano
2:0
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Praviano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Praviano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Caudal Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez Alonso M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Praviano 35 / 100
Caudal Deportivo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Praviano Caudal Deportivo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caudal Deportivo has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Attacking prowess: Praviano scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Praviano has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Praviano VS Caudal Deportivo
1.29 Goals Scored 2
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llanera34294171:1891
2Covadonga34255488:2480
3Gijon B341910579:2967
4Caudal Deportivo34206859:3966
5CD Mosconia341671146:2955
6EI San Martin341491136:3651
7L Entregu CF3413101141:4249
8Union Club Ceares341291339:4045
9Praviano341191436:4242
10Club Siero341181539:4941
11CD Colunga341091538:5939
12Llanes348131344:5137
13Aviles Stadium346151321:4033
14Gijon Industrial347111636:5732
15Lenense347111636:5832
16Navarro346131538:5331
17Tuilla34762131:6027
18Real Titanico34392222:7418