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Praviano vs Caudal Deportivo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Porto A.
63' Event
Arango C. F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Praviano and Caudal Deportivo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Praviano
20%
Draws
51%
Caudal Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caudal Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Praviano haven't matched Caudal Deportivo's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Praviano taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Caudal Deportivo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Praviano Clean Sheet 17%
Caudal Deportivo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Praviano Caudal Deportivo
Matches Played 33 39
Wins 11 24
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.15 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Caudal Deportivo
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Caudal Deportivo
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Praviano
3:1
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Caudal Deportivo
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Praviano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Praviano Compare

Top Goalscorer Arango C. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Caudal Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Porto A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Praviano 41 / 100
Caudal Deportivo 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Praviano Caudal Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Praviano's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Caudal Deportivo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 39 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Praviano stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Praviano VS Caudal Deportivo
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Praviano

(Home)
04 Oct
Praviano
1 : 1
Caudal Deportivo
27 Sept
Langreo
3 : 2
Praviano
20 Sept
Praviano
0 : 1
Aviles Stadium
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
Praviano
1 : 2
Gijon B
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Caudal Deportivo

(Away)
04 Oct
Praviano
1 : 1
Caudal Deportivo
26 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 0
L Entregu CF
20 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Union Club Ceares
09 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 2
Caudal Deportivo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Gijon B 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
3 CD Mosconia 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
4 Condal 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
5 CD Colunga 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 Caudal Deportivo 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
7 Club Siero 5 3 0 2 6:3 9
8 Langreo 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
9 Gijon Industrial 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
10 Lealtad 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
11 EI San Martin 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
12 Praviano 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
13 L Entregu CF 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 Union Club Ceares 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
15 Llanes 5 0 3 2 6:12 3
16 Aviles Stadium 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
17 Astur 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Andes CF 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)