Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Praviano and Covadonga finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Covadonga.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Praviano haven't matched Covadonga's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Praviano taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Covadonga here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Praviano | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 21 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 2.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.08 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Praviano Compare
Covadonga Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Praviano found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Covadonga's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Covadonga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Praviano
(Home)Covadonga
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llanera | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 71:18 | 91 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 88:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 79:29 | 67 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 59:39 | 66 |
| 5 | CD Mosconia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 46:29 | 55 |
| 6 | EI San Martin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:36 | 51 |
| 7 | L Entregu CF | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41:42 | 49 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:40 | 45 |
| 9 | Praviano | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:49 | 41 |
| 11 | CD Colunga | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Llanes | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 44:51 | 37 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 21:40 | 33 |
| 14 | Gijon Industrial | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36:57 | 32 |
| 15 | Lenense | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36:58 | 32 |
| 16 | Navarro | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 38:53 | 31 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 31:60 | 27 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 22:74 | 18 |
