Sport Picks

Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2015/2016

FK Atmosfera

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Prelegentai Vilnius play FK Atmosfera in the Lithuanian Cup 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Prelegentai Vilnius averaged 2.38 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. FK Atmosfera averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Prelegentai Vilnius won 1, FK Atmosfera won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 3, 2015 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Prelegentai Vilnius and 1.49 for FK Atmosfera. This points to a Prelegentai Vilnius double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Prelegentai Vilnius

15%

Draws

37%

FK Atmosfera

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Prelegentai Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Prelegentai Vilnius picked up more points recently compared to FK Atmosfera.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.49 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Prelegentai Vilnius Clean Sheet 16%

FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Prelegentai Vilnius	FK Atmosfera
Matches Played	24	31
Wins	14	16
Draws	0	5
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	2.38	1.9
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2015 Lithuanian Cup

Prelegentai Vilnius vs FK Atmosfera

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prelegentai Vilnius 46 / 100

FK Atmosfera 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Prelegentai Vilnius FK Atmosfera

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Prelegentai Vilnius or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Prelegentai Vilnius attacking → ← attacking FK Atmosfera

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prelegentai Vilnius scored in 71% of their last 24 games.

FK Atmosfera let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Prelegentai Vilnius went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Atmosfera lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 53

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00