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Prelegentai Vilnius vs Kaunas United

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2011/2012
Wed, Jul 6, 2011
2 - 3
04:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Kaunas United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Prelegentai Vilnius
22%
Draws
60%
Kaunas United
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kaunas United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Prelegentai Vilnius carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Kaunas United taking it.
  • Prelegentai Vilnius have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kaunas United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Prelegentai Vilnius Clean Sheet 14%
Kaunas United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prelegentai Vilnius Kaunas United
Matches Played 24 11
Wins 14 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 2 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2011 Lithuanian Cup
Prelegentai Vilnius vs Kaunas United
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prelegentai Vilnius 19 / 100
Kaunas United 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prelegentai Vilnius Kaunas United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Prelegentai Vilnius scored in 71% of their last 24 outings.

Defensive concern: Kaunas United conceded in 73% of 11 recent games.

Prelegentai Vilnius went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Prelegentai Vilnius VS Kaunas United
2 Goals Scored 1.6
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Prelegentai Vilnius

(Home)
26 Jun
Prelegentai Vilnius
0 : 8
FC Stumbras
29 May
Prelegentai Vilnius
2 : 0
Tera Vilnius
29 Sept
Prelegentai Vilnius
0 : 8
Utenis
22 Sept
Prelegentai Vilnius
3 : 1
FK Panevezys
25 Aug
Prelegentai Vilnius
5 : 3
FK Sveikata Kybartai
Page 1 of 5

Kaunas United

(Away)
31 Aug
Kaunas United
0 : 2
Savanoris
28 Jun
Katastrofa Vilnius
1 : 4
Kaunas United
26 Sept
Granitas Vilnius
3 : 0
Kaunas United
31 Aug
Granitas Vilnius
2 : 1
Kaunas United
06 Jul
Prelegentai Vilnius
2 : 3
Kaunas United
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Zalgiris1
Siauliai0
Polonija Vilnius1
Banga9
FBK Kaunas5
Jambo Klaipeda0
Atlantas0
Suduva9
REO Vilnius2
Tauras Taurage1
FK Klaipeda1
FK Kedainiai5
Kruoja2
FK Atmosfera1
Nevezis Kedainiai0
Ekranas2
Quarter-finals
Zalgiris1
Banga0
FBK Kaunas0
Suduva3
REO Vilnius7
FK Kedainiai1
Kruoja1
Ekranas2
Semi-finals
Zalgiris2
Suduva2
REO Vilnius0
Ekranas4
Final
Zalgiris1
Ekranas0