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Stadium Background

Premia vs UE Castelldefels

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Premia in this Tercera Division - Group 5 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Premia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Premia
15%
Draws
36%
UE Castelldefels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Premia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • UE Castelldefels have won more games recently than Premia.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on UE Castelldefels taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Premia Clean Sheet 19%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Premia UE Castelldefels
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.67 1
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Premia
2:1
Sep 5, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Premia vs UE Castelldefels
0:0
Jan 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Premia vs UE Castelldefels
3:1
Sep 13, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Premia
1:2
Apr 20, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Premia vs UE Castelldefels
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Premia 24 / 100
UE Castelldefels 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Premia UE Castelldefels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Castelldefels Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Castelldefels let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

UE Castelldefels's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Premia scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS UE Castelldefels
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Premia

(Home)
15 May
Espanyol B
3 : 2
Premia
08 May
Premia
1 : 0
CE Europa
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
6 : 0
Premia
21 Apr
Amposta
2 : 2
Premia
17 Apr
Premia
0 : 5
Terrassa
Page 1 of 6

UE Castelldefels

(Away)
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1
Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0
UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 L Hospitalet 38 25 11 2 75:16 86
2 Reus FC Reddis 38 25 8 5 69:23 83
3 Santboia 38 20 10 8 68:46 70
4 Prat 38 19 10 9 60:33 67
5 Cornella 38 16 13 9 43:41 61
6 Manlleu AEC 38 15 15 8 53:39 60
7 Som Maresme 38 15 11 12 58:42 56
8 CE Europa 38 13 15 10 56:51 54
9 Balaguer 38 13 13 12 55:48 52
10 Amposta 38 13 13 12 58:60 52
11 UE Castelldefels 38 13 8 17 52:62 47
12 Palamos CF 38 13 7 18 42:55 46
13 CF Vilanova 38 12 10 16 50:54 46
14 Pobla Mafumet 38 12 10 16 47:54 46
15 UD Cassa 38 11 11 16 50:61 44
16 Benavent 38 11 10 17 48:69 43
17 Premia 38 9 9 20 35:53 36
18 UE Rapitenca 38 9 7 22 46:71 34
19 Blanes 38 7 6 25 43:85 27
20 Olesa de Montserrat 38 5 11 22 30:75 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)