Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Preslav vs Septemvri Tervel

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - North-East 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Preslav
20%
Draws
80%
Septemvri Tervel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Septemvri Tervel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Septemvri Tervel lately — more wins on the board than Preslav.
  • Model gives Septemvri Tervel a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Preslav Clean Sheet 11%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Preslav Septemvri Tervel
Matches Played 33 44
Wins 4 32
Draws 2 7
Losses 27 5
Goals Scored 0.79 2.75
Goals Conceded 5.76 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2014 Third League - North-East
Preslav vs Septemvri Tervel
0:3
Sep 8, 2013 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Preslav
10:0
Mar 9, 2013 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Preslav
6:1
Aug 26, 2012 Third League - North-East
Preslav vs Septemvri Tervel
2:2
May 27, 2012 Third League - North-East
Preslav vs Septemvri Tervel
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Preslav 10 / 100
Septemvri Tervel 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Preslav Septemvri Tervel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Preslav scored in 42% of their last 33 games.

Septemvri Tervel let in goals in 48% of their last 44 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Septemvri Tervel
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Preslav

(Home)
31 May
Preslav
0 : 6
Suvorovo
23 May
Kubrat
14 : 0
Preslav
18 May
Preslav
0 : 8
Belitsa
14 May
Chernomorets Balchik
9 : 2
Preslav
11 May
Preslav
0 : 4
Botev Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 7

Septemvri Tervel

(Away)
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0
Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1
Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shumen 2010 28 19 6 3 69:24 63
2 Dve Mogili 28 19 5 4 75:28 62
3 Suvorovo 27 18 5 4 60:23 59
4 Belitsa 28 14 8 6 51:24 50
5 Septemvri Tervel 28 13 10 5 45:27 49
6 Dunav Ruse 28 12 10 6 48:19 46
7 Chernolomets 28 12 7 9 45:29 43
8 Benkovski Byala 28 13 2 13 52:60 41
9 Himik Devnya 27 11 6 10 33:38 39
10 Chernomorets Balchik 28 10 6 12 43:34 36
11 Chernomorets Byala 28 8 7 13 40:31 31
12 Preslav 28 7 3 18 24:74 24
13 Rapid Shumen 27 6 4 17 33:57 22
14 Lokomotiv Kaspichan 28 4 3 21 19:88 15
15 Botev Novi Pazar 27 0 2 25 3:84 2
Promotion - B PFG 2012/2013 (Main)