Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Prespa vs Belasica Strumica

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Prespa and Belasica Strumica finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belasica Strumica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Prespa
6%
Draws
90%
Belasica Strumica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Belasica Strumica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Belasica Strumica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Belasica Strumica taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Prespa Clean Sheet 10%
Belasica Strumica Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prespa Belasica Strumica
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 14
Draws 0 4
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 2. MFL
Prespa vs Belasica Strumica
1:3
Nov 30, 2025 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Prespa
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prespa 10 / 100
Belasica Strumica 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prespa Belasica Strumica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Belasica Strumica registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Prespa's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Belasica Strumica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Prespa VS Belasica Strumica
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107