Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Prespa vs Kozuf Gevgelija

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kozuf Gevgelija in this 2. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kozuf Gevgelija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Prespa
6%
Draws
90%
Kozuf Gevgelija
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kozuf Gevgelija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kozuf Gevgelija lately — more wins on the board than Prespa.
  • Kozuf Gevgelija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Prespa Clean Sheet 10%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prespa Kozuf Gevgelija
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 12
Draws 0 8
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 0.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 2. MFL
Prespa vs Kozuf Gevgelija
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Prespa
7:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prespa 10 / 100
Kozuf Gevgelija 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prespa Kozuf Gevgelija

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Prespa found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Kozuf Gevgelija let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Prespa has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Prespa VS Kozuf Gevgelija
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107