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Prespa vs Osogovo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Prespa Logo

Prespa

0 - 1
FT
Osogovo Logo

Osogovo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Osogovo in this 2. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Osogovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Prespa
20%
Draws
32%
Osogovo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Prespa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Prespa haven't matched Osogovo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Osogovo's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Prespa Clean Sheet 10%
Osogovo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prespa Osogovo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 0 7
Losses 25 10
Goals Scored 1 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.09 2.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 2. MFL
Prespa vs Osogovo
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Prespa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prespa 14 / 100
Osogovo 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prespa Osogovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osogovo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osogovo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Away concern: Osogovo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Prespa found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Prespa VS Osogovo
0.8 Goals Scored 2.25
2.2 Goals Conceded 1.38
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Prespa

(Home)
23 May
Prespa
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
16 May
Sloga Vinica
3 : 2
Prespa
10 May
Prespa
0 : 3
Detonit Plackovica
03 May
Golemo Konjari
0 : 1
Prespa
25 Apr
Prespa
0 : 2
FK Skopje
Page 1 of 6

Osogovo

(Away)
19 Sept
Teteks
0 : 0
Osogovo
13 Sept
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Detonit Plackovica
2 : 1
Osogovo
29 Aug
Osogovo
0 : 0
Novaci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 30 22 5 3 72:17 71
2 FK Skopje 30 23 2 5 72:20 71
3 Shkendija Haracine 30 21 6 3 67:19 69
4 Ohrid 30 21 5 4 78:17 68
5 Belasica Strumica 30 18 4 8 57:21 58
6 Osogovo 30 16 6 8 53:27 54
7 Novaci 30 15 6 9 47:31 51
8 Detonit Plackovica 30 14 7 9 52:28 49
9 Kozuf Gevgelija 30 12 9 9 50:26 45
10 Teteks 30 13 3 14 56:44 42
11 Kamenica Sasa 30 9 9 12 47:53 36
12 Vardar Negotino 30 6 4 20 37:95 22
13 Sloga Vinica 30 4 3 23 31:84 15
14 Prespa 30 5 0 25 30:76 15
15 Pobeda 30 3 2 25 19:117 11
16 Golemo Konjari 30 2 1 27 17:110 7
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)