Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Prespa and Vardar Negotino finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vardar Negotino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Vardar Negotino's 0.88 goals per match outpaces what Prespa have produced (0.38).
- Model gives Prespa a 60% chance of winning this.
- Regular 2. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Prespa | Vardar Negotino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 25 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.75 | 3.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.75 | 3.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vardar Negotino has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Vardar Negotino has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Prespa scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Prespa
(Home)Vardar Negotino
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bregalnica Stip | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 72:17 | 71 |
| 2 | FK Skopje | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 72:20 | 71 |
| 3 | Shkendija Haracine | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 67:19 | 69 |
| 4 | Ohrid | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 78:17 | 68 |
| 5 | Belasica Strumica | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 57:21 | 58 |
| 6 | Osogovo | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 53:27 | 54 |
| 7 | Novaci | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 47:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Detonit Plackovica | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:28 | 49 |
| 9 | Kozuf Gevgelija | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 50:26 | 45 |
| 10 | Teteks | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 56:44 | 42 |
| 11 | Kamenica Sasa | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 47:53 | 36 |
| 12 | Vardar Negotino | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 37:95 | 22 |
| 13 | Sloga Vinica | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 31:84 | 15 |
| 14 | Prespa | 30 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 30:76 | 15 |
| 15 | Pobeda | 30 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 19:117 | 11 |
| 16 | Golemo Konjari | 30 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 17:110 | 7 |