Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Victoria Genis Steel Stadium

Preston Lions

2 - 1

Hume City

Our Tip

Match Events

49'

Tevere L.

(Penalty)

64'

Zinni S.

83'

Kirdar B.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria game between Preston Lions and Hume City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Preston Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Preston Lions

30%

Draws

34%

Hume City

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Preston Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Hume City haven't matched Preston Lions's recent run of results.
36% — that's where the model lands on Preston Lions taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Preston Lions Clean Sheet 14%

Hume City Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Preston Lions	Hume City
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	18	14
Draws	6	6
Losses	8	10
Goals Scored	1	2.75
Goals Conceded	0.5	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 NPL Victoria

Preston Lions vs Hume City

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Mar 28, 2026 NPL Victoria

Hume City vs Preston Lions

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

3:2

May 16, 2025 NPL Victoria

Hume City vs Preston Lions

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Feb 7, 2025 NPL Victoria

Preston Lions vs Hume City

Possession: 41% - 40% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Jul 19, 2009 NPL Victoria

Preston Lions vs Hume City

Possession: 41% - 40% Cards: 2 - 2

0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Preston Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Zinni S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Hume City Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5

Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Preston Lions 35 / 100

Hume City 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Preston Lions Hume City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hume City conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Preston Lions has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Preston Lions found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Preston Lions VS Hume City

1 Goals Scored 2.75

0.5 Goals Conceded 1

25% Over 1.5 88%

13% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	21	14	5	2	44:18	47
2	Hume City	21	12	4	5	40:25	40
3	Avondale FC	21	11	2	8	54:28	35
4	Preston Lions	20	12	3	5	30:16	33
5	Heidelberg Utd	21	9	6	6	33:26	33
6	South Melbourne	21	10	2	9	31:32	32
7	Melbourne City U21	20	8	6	6	37:23	30
8	George Cross	21	7	9	5	28:28	30
9	St Albans	21	6	6	9	24:37	24
10	Altona Magic	21	6	5	10	24:36	23
11	Dandenong City SC	21	7	5	9	27:29	22
12	Bentleigh Greens	21	5	4	12	20:45	19
13	Dandenong Thunder	21	4	3	14	23:46	15
14	Green Gully	21	3	4	14	17:43	13