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Preston vs Chorley

World World

Club Friendly
Wed, Jul 15, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Preston host Chorley in the Club Friendly. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Preston have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Chorley's 0.5 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Preston have won 4 to Chorley's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 15, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.13) point toward Preston. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Preston
20%
Draws
38%
Chorley
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Preston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Preston average 1.63 goals a game right now, well clear of Chorley's 0.5.
  • Model gives Preston a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Preston have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Preston Clean Sheet 20%
Chorley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Preston Chorley
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Preston vs Chorley
0:0
Jul 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Chorley vs Preston
0:1
Jul 16, 2019 Club Friendly
Chorley vs Preston
0:2
Jul 9, 2016 Club Friendly
Chorley vs Preston
1:2
Jul 15, 2014 Club Friendly
Chorley vs Preston
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Preston 42 / 100
Chorley 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Preston Chorley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chorley conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Preston scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Chorley registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Preston VS Chorley
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Preston

(Home)
29 Jul
Bradford City
3 : 2
Preston
25 Jul
Marine
3 : 0
Preston
24 Jul
Preston
0 : 1
Cambridge Utd
18 Jul
Sheffield Wed
3 : 2
Preston
14 Jul
Preston
4 : 1
Bamber Bridge
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Chorley

(Away)
28 Jul
Trafford
2 : 1
Chorley
25 Jul
Chorley
0 : 3
Accrington
21 Jul
Chorley
0 : 0
Altrincham
11 Jul
Chorley
1 : 2
Bury FC
04 Jul
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Chorley
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