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Preston vs Lincoln City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Deepdale, Preston
Our Tip

Match Events

54'
Clarke H.
59'
Sub
Bayliss T. In: Varfolomeev I.
Out: Bayliss T.
59'
Sub
Street R. In: Draper F.
Out: Street R.

AI Match Summary

Lincoln City in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lincoln City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Preston
20%
Draws
51%
Lincoln City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lincoln City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lincoln City lately — more wins on the board than Preston.
  • Win probability leans Preston's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Preston Clean Sheet 14%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Preston Lincoln City
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.19 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Championship
Preston vs Lincoln City
0:1
Jul 12, 2024 Club Friendly
Preston vs Lincoln City
0:1
Feb 23, 1999 League One
Preston vs Lincoln City
5:0
Aug 29, 1998 League One
Lincoln City vs Preston
3:4
Jan 20, 1996 League Two
Lincoln City vs Preston
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Preston Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Lincoln City Compare

Top Goalscorer Draper F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Preston 39 / 100
Lincoln City 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Preston Lincoln City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Preston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Preston's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Lincoln City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Preston went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Preston VS Lincoln City
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Preston

(Home)
19 Sept
QPR
2 : 2
Preston
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1
Lincoln City
08 Sept
Watford
2 : 1
Preston
05 Sept
Preston
2 : 1
Blackburn
01 Sept
Preston
1 : 3
Bristol City
Page 1 of 6

Lincoln City

(Away)
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2
Swansea
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1
Lincoln City
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1
Lincoln City
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0
Lincoln City
05 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 1
Southampton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 8 4 3 1 22:11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
5 West Brom 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
6 QPR 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 16:17 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)