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Preston vs Millwall - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Deepdale, Preston
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Preston host Millwall in the Championship. This one's hard to separate. Millwall have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while Preston have conceded 1.94 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Millwall slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.81) back Millwall to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Preston
30%
Draws
39%
Millwall
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Millwall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Millwall have won more games recently than Preston.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Preston Clean Sheet 11%
Millwall Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Preston Millwall
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 6 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Championship
Preston vs Millwall
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Preston
1:1
Feb 18, 2025 Championship
Preston vs Millwall
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Championship
Millwall vs Preston
3:1
Jan 27, 2024 Championship
Millwall vs Preston
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Preston 30 / 100
Millwall 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Preston Millwall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millwall Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Preston found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Millwall conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Preston remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Preston VS Millwall
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Preston

(Home)
19 Sept
QPR
2 : 2
Preston
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1
Lincoln City
08 Sept
Watford
2 : 1
Preston
05 Sept
Preston
2 : 1
Blackburn
01 Sept
Preston
1 : 3
Bristol City
Page 1 of 7

Millwall

(Away)
19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2
West Ham
15 Sept
Middlesbrough
2 : 2
Millwall
12 Sept
Blackburn
3 : 1
Millwall
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0
Bolton
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 8 4 3 1 22:11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
5 West Brom 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
6 QPR 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 16:17 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)