Sport Picks
Preston vs Southampton
England
Championship 2025/2026 Deepdale, Preston 
Match Events
10'
10'
Storey J.
12'
12'
Harwood-Bellis T.
Assist: Santos W.
34'
34'
Moran A.
AI Match Summary
Southampton in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Southampton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Southampton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Southampton have won more games recently than Preston.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Southampton taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Preston Clean Sheet 13%
Southampton Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Preston | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 21 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Championship
Preston vs Southampton
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 Championship
Southampton vs Preston
0:2
Apr 16, 2024 Championship
Southampton vs Preston
3:0
Oct 25, 2023 Championship
Preston vs Southampton
2:2
Jul 20, 2019 Club Friendly
Preston vs Southampton
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Preston Compare
Top Goalscorer Dobbin L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Southampton Compare
Top Goalscorer Harwood-Bellis T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stewart R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Preston 10 / 100
Southampton 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Preston Southampton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Southampton has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Attacking prowess: Preston scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Preston VS Southampton
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Preston
(Home) 01 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 0 Preston
29 Jul
Bradford City
3 : 2 Preston
25 Jul
Marine
3 : 0 Preston
24 Jul
Preston
0 : 1 Cambridge Utd
18 Jul
Sheffield Wed
3 : 2 Preston
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Preston
0 : 1 Cambridge Utd
14 Jul
Preston
4 : 1 Bamber Bridge
02 May
Preston
1 : 3 Southampton
18 Apr
Preston
0 : 2 West Brom
06 Apr
Preston
1 : 1 QPR
Page 1 of 3
Southampton
(Away) 01 Aug
Preussen Munster
1 : 2 Southampton
24 Jul
Braunschweig
0 : 1 Southampton
18 Jul
Eastleigh
1 : 3 Southampton
12 May
Southampton
2 : 1 Middlesbrough
09 May
Middlesbrough
0 : 0 Southampton
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Preussen Munster
1 : 2 Southampton
24 Jul
Braunschweig
0 : 1 Southampton
18 Jul
Eastleigh
1 : 3 Southampton
09 May
Middlesbrough
0 : 0 Southampton
02 May
Preston
1 : 3 Southampton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
