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Pretoria Callies vs Leruma United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Africa South Africa

Motsepe Foundation Championship 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Mgwaba S.
68' Event
Angoume Y.
79' Event
Amoojee N.

AI Match Summary

The Motsepe Foundation Championship 2024/2025 game between Pretoria Callies and Leruma United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leruma United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Pretoria Callies
30%
Draws
18%
Leruma United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pretoria Callies

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

18% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pretoria Callies come out ahead of Leruma United on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Pretoria Callies have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Pretoria Callies Clean Sheet 18%
Leruma United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pretoria Callies Leruma United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.77 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Pretoria Callies vs Leruma United
1:2
Dec 4, 2024 Nedbank Cup
Leruma United vs Pretoria Callies
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Leruma United vs Pretoria Callies
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pretoria Callies Compare

Top Goalscorer Mgwaba S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Leruma United Compare

Top Goalscorer Angoume Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amoojee N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pretoria Callies 32 / 100
Leruma United 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pretoria Callies Leruma United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leruma United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leruma United has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pretoria Callies remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Pretoria Callies found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Pretoria Callies VS Leruma United
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pretoria Callies

(Home)
18 May
Pretoria Callies
0 : 2
JDR Stars
11 May
Baroka
1 : 2
Pretoria Callies
03 May
Pretoria Callies
2 : 1
Hungry Lions
30 Apr
Milford
0 : 2
Pretoria Callies
25 Apr
Durban City
3 : 0
Pretoria Callies
Page 1 of 6

Leruma United

(Away)
18 May
Orbit College
0 : 0
Leruma United
11 May
Leruma United
1 : 1
Milford
03 May
Kruger United
1 : 0
Leruma United
26 Apr
Leruma United
1 : 1
Pretoria U.
23 Apr
Leruma United
1 : 2
Venda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Durban City 30 17 7 6 44:23 58
2 Orbit College 30 14 11 5 33:19 53
3 Real Native 30 13 9 8 38:29 48
4 Black Leopards 30 13 8 9 43:36 47
5 Kruger United 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
6 Milford 30 12 7 11 35:37 43
7 JDR Stars 30 11 10 9 30:33 43
8 Baroka 30 10 11 9 41:43 41
9 Highbury 30 10 8 12 29:28 38
10 Pretoria U. 30 9 11 10 27:31 38
11 Pretoria Callies 30 10 6 14 23:36 36
12 Upington City 30 8 11 11 28:30 35
13 Hungry Lions 30 8 9 13 35:35 33
14 Venda 30 7 10 13 30:34 31
15 Cape Town Spurs 30 6 12 12 24:30 30
16 Leruma United 30 6 9 15 20:39 27
Promotion - Betway Premiership 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Betway Premiership 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)