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Primavera EC vs AA Itarare

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2018
Primavera EC Logo

Primavera EC

1 - 0
FT
AA Itarare Logo

AA Itarare

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Primavera EC in this Paulista A4 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Primavera EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Primavera EC
20%
Draws
23%
AA Itarare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Primavera EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Primavera EC have won more games recently than AA Itarare.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Primavera EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 20%
AA Itarare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primavera EC AA Itarare
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2018 Paulista A4
AA Itarare vs Primavera EC
1:3
Sep 1, 2018 Paulista A4
Primavera EC vs AA Itarare
1:0
Aug 18, 2018 Paulista A4
Primavera EC vs AA Itarare
0:0
Jul 14, 2018 Paulista A4
AA Itarare vs Primavera EC
0:0
May 26, 2018 Paulista A4
Primavera EC vs AA Itarare
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primavera EC 85 / 100
AA Itarare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primavera EC AA Itarare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Primavera EC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

AA Itarare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Primavera EC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Primavera EC VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Primavera EC

(Home)
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
16 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 2
Primavera EC
08 Aug
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Juventus-SP
02 Aug
Juventus-SP
0 : 1
Primavera EC
25 Jul
Primavera EC
2 : 0
Osasco Sporting
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AA Itarare

(Away)
20 Aug
Gremio Prudente
2 : 1
AA Itarare
14 Aug
AA Itarare
0 : 3
Gremio Prudente
06 Aug
SKA Brasil
1 : 2
AA Itarare
31 Jul
AA Itarare
0 : 1
Itapirense
24 Jul
AA Itarare
3 : 3
Catanduva FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
2 Primavera EC 6 3 2 1 8:7 11
3 Paulista 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
4 AA Itarare 6 1 0 5 3:9 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Francana 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Comercial 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Flamengo SP 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Play Offs)